Prometheus Podcast
Markets, macro, & investing.
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Episodes
Tuesday Nov 15, 2022
Tuesday Nov 15, 2022
We’re back with Episode 2 of the Prometheus Podcast! This recording is one of many podcasts to come, which will cover far-ranging topics in macro, markets, and investing. As always, our objective is to bring you thoughtful and actionable insights, and our conversations will always aim to be so.
Today, we have an exceptional guest, Alfonso Peccatiello- author of The Macro Compass. The Macro Compass is the largest macro Substack out there, and with good reason- Alfonso has a deep and rich understanding of the monetary system, which he has weaponized into an actionable investment framework. His approach is cogent and extremely relevant in today's policy setting. During an in-depth conversation, they discussed the mechanics of the monetary system, the difference between various forms of credit, and how this can all be distilled into an investment portfolio. This is a must-listen for those wishing to link a robust monetary framework to actual risk-taking. Enjoy!
Find the show notes below:
(00:00 - 11:20) Monetary Mechanics: Private Sector Money Verus Financial Sector Money.
(11:20 - 22:30) Government Impulse: Private Money Versus Government Money, The Limits On Credit Creation, Government Spending Limitations.
(22:30 - 28:15) The Macro Compass: Credit Impulse, Monetary Policy Stance Versus Neutral.
(28:15 - 33:30) Risk Overlay: Strategic Portfolio, Tactical Portfolio, Stop Losses.
(33:30 - 41:30) The US Macro Environment: We’re In The Worst Quadrant, The Fed, Inflation, Risk Rally, & Bonds.
(41:30 - 46:00 ) Risks To The Outlook: Soft Landing, Treasury Sales By The Fed, Implementing Risk Management.
Make sure to check out his Substack: Click here.
For more “high-frequency” insights like these, follow both @prometheusmacro & @MacroAlf on Twitter.
If you enjoyed this episode, make sure to let us know in the comments below. Finally, if you haven’t already, don’t forget to subscribe!
Tuesday Nov 15, 2022
Tuesday Nov 15, 2022
Today, we’re very excited to announce the launch of the Prometheus Podcast! This recording is the first of many podcasts to come, which will cover far-ranging topics in macro, markets, and investing. As always, our objective is to bring you thoughtful and actionable insights, and our conversations will always aim to be so.
For our first episode, our Founder, Aahan Menon, is joined by a very special guest: Darius Dale, Founder & CEO of 42 Macro. Darius is one of the best quantitative macro minds out there and runs one of the best macro research firms in the business. The conversation covered a wide variety of topics, from the underlying mechanics of a systematic macro approach, to the current outlook on markets. Find the show notes below:
(0:00 - 0:30) Understanding The Systematic Approach: Concepts, Nowcasting, Regime Recognition
(0:30 - 0:43) The Current Economic Backdrop: Growth, Labor Markets, Fed, The Structure Of Inflation Drivers
(0:00 - 0:43) Market Views: Treasuries, Stock & Bond Correlations, Eventual Dollar Unwind
Make sure to check out Darius’ firm, 42 Macro, they have a great product: Click here. For more “high-frequency insights”, follow both @prometheusmacro & @42macro on Twitter.
If you enjoyed this episode, make sure to let us know in the comments below. Finally, if you haven’t already, don’t forget to subscribe!
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